Decent Confidence About Two Runners To Nail Ballarat Race 5

Ballarat Race 5 shows all the signs of being one of those very good value betting maidens where the odds-makers havent done enough homework and in turn giving us the opportunity to pounce of 2 runners here which scream value for a result across the race.

Midoriyama is 6.5 / 2.8 (2 place dividends) as the top elect and Melody Calling the debut runner is 11.0 / 4.4 and a definite chance that is over the odds.

Midoriyama comes in as the top rated runner for us. Happy to overlook exposed race form and go on its well above average trial form to get a true gauge of where this well bred filly fits into the picture.

She split Egyptian Bullet and Faith Falls in a very strong trial prior to debut last prep and did similar again in prep for return this prep when a good 3rd to Fern and Chateau Griffo, she is bred to be well above average by Pierro out of the well performed and well related Flying Spur mare, plenty of scope for more, very well placed and has to be played as top elect each way at 6.5 / 2.8.

Melody Calling makes very good appeal from a pedigree perspective being by an excellent speed source in the form of Canford Cliffs and out of a Rubiton mare who won 3 from 8 including at Listed level, she also had victories over Danerich and a close up 0.5l to Magnus at G2 level, if Melody Calling has inherited any of the ability from top or bottom of its pedigree then it will run a big race here over a suitable speed trip at 11.0 / 4.4 each way.

So we can back both Midoriyama 6.5 / 2.8 & Melody Calling 11.0 / 4.4 for a result across the race, reminder there is only 2 place dividends, place value still very good too.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s