Late Mail for Sunday 1 October

We will be previewing some of the better bets around Australia on Sunday. Caulfield is the major meeting for the day with the G1 Sir Rupert Clarke and G1 Underwood Stakes.

Ballina R1 #4 Tiarnan (4) – super weak maiden for the tag on offer, this one stretches out to 1600m after finishing 2nd last time out over 1400m at the Gold Coast behind the well regarded lightly raced Snitzel 4yo Shinnecock, they put a margin to 3rd that day and the form out of the race stacks up strongly, new peak expected stretching out to this trip, ticks all the right boxes, not often we will come into one this short in the market, need 1.80+ for value, currently 1.70, should get out to the needed price.

Cootamundra R1 #5 Sidonia Miss (1.5) – looks a race of 2 major seen chances and they finished 2nd and 3rd last time out behind Flying Fragments at Wagga, Sidonia Miss was wide and forced to make 2 runs and battled on strong down the middle of the track in deep stretch (good hidden merit) whilst Hoffski got back to last and was saved for one run coming late with big closing pars, very much flattered, on that basis have to go with Sidonia Miss on top here, decent scope for more being lightly raced, goes around as a 5.50 chance, rated on top as a 3.80 chance.

Caulfield R1 #10 Tribal Wisdom (1.5) & #14 Typhoon Monaco (1) – big value betting affair to get involved in here with Tribal Wisdom on offer at 19.00 / 5.50 as the top rated contender whilst Typhoon Monaco can also be nibbled at each way at the big odds of 26.00 / 7.20 in support of the top elect, Tribal Wisdom took out the Listed Gosford Guineas last preparation and Typhoon Monaco is also a lightly raced improver with a profile to suggest blacktype success in the future, both have the perfect profiles as lightly tried potential stakes horses to suggest they can figure here at big odds.

Caulfield R2 #11 Selenia (1) & #7 Motown Lil (1) – Selenia is 1st up into this on the back of a good trial win over Illustrious Lad, she gets in very well weighted with only 52.5kg, end of last recuperation she suggested she was still on a bit of an upward curve, trial win in preparation for return suggests same, decent value at 5.00, Motown Lil draws wide but will get back in the run and should be suited by a good tempo on the front end, she drops 4.5kg on her good win over Essence Of Terror at Sandown over 1000m 5 starts ago, goes around at the good each way odds of 10.00 3.30.

Pt Lincoln R4 #1 Cyclone Stryker (2) – lightly raced improver resuming from a spell here, won first 2 starts on end over this track and distance when making all on each occasion, debut win over Day Spa by 2.5l reads very strong on a form line back to the other seen major hopes here, goes very well 1st up and on exposed form looks to have a clear class edge over this lot with good scope for more, anything better than 3.00 is value, on offer as a 5.50 / 2.20 chance, qualifies as a Banker Bet for Place angle players at the excellent odds of 2.15 on offer.

More to follow…

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