The last race on the card at Randwick is a race we hopefully wont need to use as a “Get Out” but even if we did we could bet into the race with super confidence knowing we can get in the line to collect as soon as they jump.
We have Race 9 at Randwick down to only 2 seen winning chances and no matter how we run the race we just can’t get past the fact that that Super Too 4.80 and Gibraltar Girl 4.20 look to have the race totally in their keeping. In fact we think they are that far clear of their opposition they should go very close to running the Quinella.
At the odds of 4.80 about Super Too and 4.20 about Gibraltar Girl they occupy a total of 45% of the betting market which is equivalent to getting combined odds of 2.20 about the two runners combined regardless of whichever one wins. With that in mind we have them down as a combined 66% chance of winning this race which equates to odds of 1.50 so the 2.20 on offer is very good overs about what shapes as high confidence angle to attack this race from.
Super Too comes into this race 2nd up from a spell after a below par effort at Randwick 1st up when the 4yo Hinchinbrook mare tried to make all but only battled on to be beaten 2.5l into 5th, prior to that she won a trial by 11.8l and looked absolute top class in the making, she gets in here very well weighted and off the back of a 3 week freshen the pace scenario suggests she is every chance of making all here, importantly she gets a 1st time tongue tie suggesting she may have had breathing issues last start, even more reason to forgive that effort.
Gibraltar Girl has had 2 very ominous trials leading into this race with a 2nd to potential smart type Preferito followed by a close up 4th to That’s A Good Idea in another very strong trial, being a Snowden charge we can well expect this 4yo Manhattan Rain mare to come on significantly under race conditions here and be primed for this 1st up tilt, she will be closing hardest of all in deep stretch and the one that Super Too will have to hold off in the charge to the wire.
Back both Super Too 4.80 and Gibraltar Girl 4.20 both to win with major confidence for a result across the race in Randwick Race 9.