Want A Bit Of 100/1 About A Bit Of Black Caviar

Sportsbet.com.au have put up an interesting market on Friday after all the buzz surrounding the maiden win of the first foal of the undefeated champion mare Black Caviar.

Oscietra got her career up and running at Geelong on Friday making all to win her 2nd career start after a debut 3rd in a strong Listed race as a 2yo down the Flemington straight behind Limestone.

Being the first foal of Black Caviar there is obviously a lot of interest in her and Sportsbet.com.au have accordingly framed a market offering 100/1 about Oscietra winning ANY Group 1 race by the end of 2018. So that gives her until nearly half way into her 4yo season to get that elusive G1 prize and follow in her mum’s illustrious footsteps.

No doubting that is as big ask for any horse to expect it to become a Group 1 winner off the back of a maiden win but if any horse is bred to achieve it and has a shot based on what she has already done on the track and the high regard in which her stable holds her than Oscietra just might be that horse.

Co-trainer David Hayes was interviewed after the race and it was interesting to here his insight especially when he alluded to what she had done at Lindsay Park suggesting she is a high class stakes horse on the make already considering she has worked with and beaten proven stakes performers on numerous occassions. One has to wonder if he is alluding to Catchy or Formalitry, if that is the case then the 100/1 sportsbet.com.au is starting to look like luxury odds!

Here is David Hayes talking to Racing.com after the race. Definitely worth a listen. He’s a canny and wily trainer and if you pay close attention and watch his body language its obvious he knows he has a very smart one. He has the benchmark 3yo fillies this season so he definitely knows what a smart one is!

Jockey Regan Bayliss also gives us some very good insight into the performance when he talks about the headwind encountered down the back. In relation to this it is also interesting that David Hayes mentioned he wanted Oscietra to settle 3rd or 4th but was too brilliant. That suggests he is trying to give her every chance to get 1200m or maybe even a bit further. That really opens up the options of Group 1 targets she can target if she continues to progress.

From a pedigree perspective we have to think that her options will be limited beyond 1400m even if they do teach her to settle. Her pedigree really is full of speed influences. Her sire Exceed And Excel is a speed sire influence mainly and on the dams side of her pedigree we have Bel Esprit, Desert Sun, Snippets and Vain as her 1st-4th dam sires. That is speed on speed and that is exactly what Black Caviar displayed on the track.

Even with this in minds and even if they get only get her to stretch out to 1400m there is still a multitude of average fillies and mares only G1 races to target before the end of 2018.

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Oscietra from a pedigree perspective is speed on speed. Even if David Hayes teaches her to settle it is hard to see her getting further than 1400m.

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Oscietra is 100/1 to win any Group 1 race by the end of 2018 with sportsbet.com.au

More to follow…

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