Breeding Is Key To Value At Pinjarra

Race 3 on the card at Pinjarra on Thursday shapes as a great value betting race. The top 2 rated chances in the market are both at the luxury odds of 17.00 to win and 4.20 to place in early markets.

As is generally the rule of thumb around this time of the year on the WA provincial circuit this is shaping up as a very strong future form race with a number of well bred lightly raced types carrying in strong trial and race form.

A lot of these runners have been runners have been well found but two of them are well hidden from a price perspective and they just happen to be our top two rated contenders.

Pinjarra R3 1000m 15K Mdn
#5 Runs To Paradise 4.20
#11 Springtime Girl 5.50
#3 Sovereignty Lady 5.80
#6 Copper Fury 8.00
#2 Easewold 9.50

Pinjarra R3 #5 Run To Paradise 17.00 / 4.20 –¬†deceivingly well bred type by Sepoy out of the Bletchley Park mare Paradise Park who herself had a career mark of 10-4-7 $160K including winning at G3 level in the Sires Produce over 1400m at Ascot, comes into this race 2nd up from a spell having its 4th career start, total forgive run last time out, hasd genuine excuses after a tough on pace trip, won a strong trial prior to resuming over Sunset Pete over 600m on this track, form refs read strong, that franked good trial win prior to debut over Sky Atlas, we have it rated on top as a 4.20 chance here so excellent value on offer on an each way basis, back to win as a 17.00 chance, also sensational value for Place punters as a 4.20 chance in the Place market, anytime we can secure Place equivalent odds as to what we have it rated to Win suggests excellent value vs confidence as an overall betting proposition.

Pinjarra R3 #11 Springtime Girl 17.00 / 4.20 – well bred debut runner with a good speed pedigree by Hinchinbrook out of a General Nediym mare, dam was smart winning 2 from 11 over sprinting trip on the Vic provincial circuit, comes into this race on the back of a very strong trial 2nd at Belmont beaten 0.4l by No Demerit, strong form refs come out of that trial including proven lines back to the market leaders here giving this one a minor edge over the likes of Lighthouse Rock and Sovereignty Lady, has to overcome a wide alley but get the services of smart hoop Skye Bogenhuber, if it overcomes the wide gate it will shake the life out of this race as a serious each way chance, back in support of top elect on an each way basis at the very good odds of 17.00 / 4.20.

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