Wednesday offers up it’s usual variety of good quality betting races across the course of the afternoon. Lets have a crack at them and see what we can unearth for punters.
We take in meetings from Warwick Farm, Ballina, Doomben, Gawler, Belmont and Sandown Hillside.
Gawler R4 #4 Mint Collector 3.80 – deceivingly well bred lightly raced improver by under-rated sire Mint Lane (Malibu Moon) out of a Snippets mare, comes into this race having its 9th career start, penny finally dropped 2 starts ago when it came out to break its maiden by 7l at Strathalbyn over 1200m on soft going, made all that day and looked clearly superior widening the margin the further they went, sire has been doing a great job getting its fair share of good winners especially over sprinting trips, overall depth here not great and this one has scope for a bit more and on that maiden win looks well above the level required to win here already, goes around as a 3.80 chance, we have it rated as a 3.50 chance, minor overs, back to win with a good degree of confidence.
Sandown R5 #2 Passover 21.00 / 5.20 – playing the value angle here, we get the feeling Henry Dwyer may have finally worked out the tricks to this Great Britain bred 6yo son of Passing Glance, 3rd up from a spell now and comes into this race after winning a trial at Avoca by 6l over 1100m defeating some decent staying types, jockey was absolutely swinging on it, could have won by panels, Georgina Cartwright rode that day and she stays on here claiming 3kg, may well be back to UK form levels and if it is it will prove hard to run down off a soft front end trip, also worth noting best UK form was when it was making all as it did in that soft trial win, warrants each way specking at the big odds of 21.00 / 5.20.
Doomben R7 #2 Fit For Purpose 2.30 – bred for this sort of trip being by Show A Heart out of a Conatus mare, comes into this race having only its 5th career start and has big scope for more now 3rd up into this race and looking for this distance now, good merit trial 2nd to Red Mahogany prior to the start of this preparation suggested may be ready to return hitting new peaks this time in, did exactly that 1st up from a spell scoring by 3.5l at the Sunshine Coast over 1300m, got caught trying to make all last time out when battling on one paced for 2nd over 1400m on heavy going, maiden win 2 starts ago suggests well above the level required to win here, ticks all the right boxes, around the right price as a 2.30 elect, back to win with good confidence.
Gawler R7 #5 Complete Class 8.00 / 2.50 & #7 De Jorvik 14.00 / 3.80 – enough value in the market here to back both Complete Class and De Jorvik for a result across the race, Complete Class has been really mixing its form this preparation but 2 runs ago suggested it was getting back to somewhere near its best with a hard closing 4th to Enki at Morphettville, on best form from 2016 would prove very hard to beat here, might just be ready to find that form again now, deserves one more chance at the good odds on 8.00 / 2.50 on offer, De Jorvik is another who has been mixing its form recently but its 4th up from a spell into this race and totally looking for this trip now after doing its best work on the line last time out when 5th at Balaklava over 1216m beaten only 3.5l, significant gear change with cross-over nose band off first time, best form from 2016 suggests its well up a race of this nature and gets in well weighted dropping 1kg on last start, ticks a few boxes for a 14.00 / 3.80 solid each way chance.
Gawler R8 #4 Hippogriff 4.80 / 1.95 – lightly raced and improving staying prospect who comes into this race on the back of breaking its maiden last time out over this track and distance, only won by 0.5l but was taking on Mdn/C1 company and did put good big margins back through the field, form stacks up fairly nicely out of the race, likely to get a near perfect trip here from the 2 alley stalking from better than midfield, very well bred by Redoute’s Choice out of the Encosta De Lago mare Fashion who herself is out of the G1 Blue Diamond winner True Jewels, goes around as a 4.80 / 195 chance here, we have it clear cut top rated as a 3.30 chance, good overs and good confidence.