After landing the first 3 winners in a row to kick off the Royal Ascot carnival on Tuesday we come into the Day 2 of the famed carnival on a high but knowing only too well how hard of a punting day it can be with such large fields engaged for most races.
We will be paying particular attention to a few Place bets at good value odds as our potential banker points across the day at stages.
Firstly, we protect our Day 1 profit which included wins on Ribchester in the Queen Anne as a NAP paying 2.10, followed by Rajasinghe taking out the Coventry Stakes as a 15.00 chance. To top it off we then landed run away King’s Stand Stakes winner Lady Aurelia as a 4.50 elect.
Jersey Stakes Preview – the betting market is fairly correct at the top end and it really looks a race in two between Le Brivido and Daban. Le Brivido is about the right price offered up as a 3.90 chance whilst Daban creates the value being offered up as a 7.00 chance, back them both to win with good confidence to kick off Day 2 action. From a Place betting perspective we can back Daban at the value odds of 3.10 as the major Place bet and it is a NAP Place for that matter in a race with 4 Place dividends, 3rd rated Barrington is 14.00 to Place, nibble at it aswell to finish top 4.
Ascot 2.30 Jersey Stakes 7f G3 3yo
#9 Le Brivido 3.70
#5 Daban 3.80
#2 Barrington 7.00
#6 Dream Castle 7.50
#19 Whitecliffsofdover 13.00
#11 Parfait 17.00
Ascot 2.30 #9 Le Brivido 3.80 – drops in class into this with big scope for more 3rd up for the 2017 season having mere 4th career start, looks clearly very hard to beat here on the back of finishing 2nd to high class Brametot last time out in the G1 Poule d’Essai des Poulains, put a big margin back to 3rd and 4th adding big depth to the form out of the race, looks a sure fire G1 winner on the make, if thats the case this should just be a stepping stone despite being a very strong renewal of the Jersey Stakes.
Ascot 2.30 #5 Daban 8.60 / 3.10 – very much along similar lines to the other top elect in this race, lightly raced improver having 4th career start and 3rd start for 2017, this one comes through a very good 3rd to Winter in the 1000 Guineas, the form out of the race is stacking up strongly, excellent value on offer as a high class 2nd elect and the only seen danger to Le Brivido, back at 8.60 / 3.10 on an each way basis in support of Le Brivido for a result across the race.
Queen Mary Stakes Preview – the Wesley Ward factor is once again another huge factor in a 5f 2yo race at the Royal Ascot carnival No doubting Happy Like A Fool looks very smart but the 2.00 to 2.10 being bandied around with fixed odds operators is definite unders. It really does limit our betting options on this race but we can still play the 2nd rated elect Emilia James from a big value perspective. She is 41.00 / 6.00 as an each way prospect. Nibble at her in the Win market at the big odds but the best betting option in the race is to play Emilia James in the place market at the excellent odds of 6.00 knowing there is 4 Place dividends on offer this race. Lets not forget plenty of betting quality betting races will show up over the rest of the carnival.
Ascot 3.05 Queen Mary Stakes 5f G2 2yof
#8 Happy Like A Fool 3.00
#5 Emilia James 6.00
#9 Heartache 8.00
#23 Treasuring 9.00
#15 Mrs Gallagher 12.00
#16 Neola 16.00
#2 Chica La Habana 18.00
#3 Darkanna 20.00
Duke Of Cambridge Stakes Preview – a very strong renewal of the G2 Duke Of Cambridge Stakes and a very good confidence betting race. With our top rated runner being double figure odds it allows us to place this race very safe in the win market and back 3 of them for a result across the race. We have Greta G the top rated contender as a 2.80 chance and we can get 15.00 about her in the Win market. 2nd top rated Smart Call is slight unders on offer at 4.50 but with excellent value elsewhere at the top of the market we can back it aswell from a safety angle, Mix And Mingle is also overs being offered up at 10.00 as the 3rd elect, we have it rated 5.50. Back all 3 of these for a result across the race in the win market. Get your best result out of the top rated Greta G looking to also make a decent earn out of the other two. From a Place betting perspective get stuck into Greta G which can be backed at the very good odds of 3.50. She qualifies as a Place NAP and probably the best angle to play the race from.
Ascot 3.40 Duke Of Cambridge Stakes 1m G2 f&m 4yo+
#16 Greta G 2.80
#12 Smart Call 5.20
#8 Mix And Mingle 5.50
#10 Qemah 6.50
#11 Same Jurisdiction 18.00
Ascot 3.40 #16 Greta G 15.00 / 3.50 – Deceivingly well bred type by Exchange Rate out of an Orpen mare, sire is a son of Danzig who gets plenty of top class turf horses in the USA, this one ships over for the Gosden yard with top French hoop Olivier Peslier up here to make its European debut, was very high class in Argentina in 2016 during its 3yo year winning the G1 Gran Premio Mil Guineas over 1m on heavy turf going, totally spaced them by 7l that day and beat what has since worked out a good quality Sth American G1 field, obviously is top class but it remains to be seen just how top class she is, the fact they have bought her to Europe suggests connections have a huge opinion of her, at the big odds each way of 15.00 / 3.50 it is well worth finding out just how top class she is, we think she is a European G1 winner on the make, sooner rather than later!
Princes Of Wales’s Stakes Preview – only an average renewal of the Princes Of Wales’s Stakes for 2017 and it looks a race tailor made for the high class son of Galileo and globe trotting superstar Highland Reel to make it 2 wins on end. Hew qualifies as a NAP and one of the banker bets of the Royal Ascot carnival’ at the excellent odds of 3.20 on offer. Expect a gamble to be launched on it come closer to post time. Will probably go off around 2.80.
Ascot 4.20 #2 Highland Reel 3.20 – globetrotting superstar who got back to his best last start winning the G1 Coronation Cup by 1.7l over Frontiersman with a further big 3.5l margin back to Hawkbill in 3rd, form references out of that race suggest has the clear edge over the only other high class G1 10f horse in the field in the form of Jack Hobbs, we think Highland Reel has it cold in fact!, scope for a bit more now having its 3rd run back for 2017, overall this race is only an average renewal of the Princes Of Wales’s Stakes at best making it a very very winnable target for Highland Reel, goes around as a 3.20 chance, we have it rated clear cut on top as a 2.30 chance, qualifies as a NAP and very hard to beat.
Royal Hunt Cup Preview – A good renewal of the Royal Hunt Cup and we have this race down to 2 major chances in the form of Abe Lincoln and Blair House which we have rated as equal top elects here and there is enough value to back both of them for a result across the race in both WIN and PLACE markets. Abe Lincoln is 7.00 / 2.90 and Blair House is 19.00 / 6.00. Also remember this race is 4 Place dividends.
Ascot 5.00 #23 Abe Lincoln 7.00 / 2.90 – very well bred type and the perfect type of profile to win a big mile handicap getting in well under the handicapper guard, comes into this race having its 7th career start on the back of finishing 2nd last time out beaten a short head in the Britannia Stakes by Limitless putting clear margins back through the rest of the field, looks a high class Group horse on the make which is the type of horse you want to win these races, equal top rated with Blair House, they look to have it between them, this one is 7.00 / 2.90, back both runners for a result across the race.
Ascot 5.00 #30 Blair House 19.00 / 6.00 – very well bred type by Pivotal out of the Dubawi mare Patroness, comes into this race having its 7th career start having only missed a top 2 finish once in its career, put the writing on the wall winning its maiden at Nottingham back in May 2016 that it was a high class type on the make, put big gaps inb them that day beating some well bred types from leading yards, has been gelded since 2016 and likely to come back much bigger and stronger here, has obviously been targeted at this race and the trainer Charlie Appleby is adept at placing his charges for 1st up assaults in big races, goes around as a 19.00 / 6.00 chance and equal top elect, back along with Abe Lincoln for a result across the race.
Sandringham Handicap Preview – playing the value angle here and backing 3 horses in the win market. Bean Feasa rates just on top and can be backed at 15.00 / 3.00, also back Really Special 9.00 and Grecian Light 26.00 / 4.40 also to win for just as good a result. All up they occupy approx 23% of the betting market giving us better than 4.00 about one of the 3 of them winning. In the Place market where we get 5 place dividends make the major bet Bean Feasa at 3.00 but also back Grecian Light at 4.33.