Our Late Mail segments have been totally on fire recently landing some really big priced winners over and over again. Friday was no different with Dame Largo lobbing at Geelong at the huge odds of 40/1, better than that in places touching 50/1. We back up again with another jam packed addition for Saturday so strap yourself in and fill up your pockets courtesy of us at hotbets365.com
Narrandera R1 #8 Mrs Arbuckle 4.00 & #7 Hussed 26.00 / 7.50 – good value vs confidence betting race to kick off the card at Narrandera where we can back two horses for a result across the race, Mrs Arbuckle is the clear top elect here and comes into this 1000m maiden having its 2nd career start, genuine excuses on debut, prefer to forgive, trial 3rd to Class Clown prior to that suggests well above the level required to win a maiden at the $10k purse level, deceivingly strong speed pedigree by Bianconi out of an Umatilla mare, back as the clear top elect at the 4.00 on offer, we have it rated 3.30. The other one worth backing here on an each way basis and a clear 2nd elect for us is the Husson filly over from Echuca in Hussed, prepared to forgive debut which was prior to recent strong trial 2nd at Avoca, stable have picked this race out and there getting dream odds here at 26.00 & 7.50 for a solid each way chance that could well blow them all away, back in support of the top elect for a result across the race.
Moonee Valley R2 #5 Airino 5.50 / 2.20 & #9 Unique Lovely 7.50 & 2.40 – becomes a good quality race in two where we can back two runners to win for a result across the race, Airino is a lightly raced filly who has struck form this prep. Smart all the way win two runs back then followed that up with strong placing when led on the Heavy at Pakenham. Looks the likely leader here and now she has struck form should hold it. Looks suited and with further scope to improve will be very hard to catch. Represents super each/way value as the top elect, the other one worth backing here is Unique Lovely as the 2nd elect just behind Airino, Unique Lovely was highly impressive breaking its maiden tag last time out, put them away in a twinkling one clear in the stretch, gets in well weighted here with good scope for more.
Moonee Valley R3 #5 Zara Bay 4.20 / 1.83 & #12 Keep Courting 61.00 / 14.00 – Zara Bay is the clear major elect here but it is also worth nibbling on Keep Courting at the huge odds on offer on an each way basis for a result across the race, Zara Bay resumes here and is already placed 4 of 5 first up runs including a win. Super competitive in much stronger races throughout her career and might just be the class runner of the field. Drawn to get the gun run in behind what looks a solid tempo on paper. She has won a trial leading into this which indicates she is forward enough to be winning. Ticks all the box’s here and will be hard to beat as the clear top elect, Keep Courting is at huge odds and may be the big blowout contender, can be totally forgiven for its last start failure on heavy going, was very consistent in handy races prior to that last start effort, thrown in at the weights after the claim for apprentice hoop, ticks a few boxes for a 61.00 & 14.00 chance on an each way basis, nibble at it each way in support of Zara Bay the clear top elect.
Moonee Valley R5 #6 Fast Cash 13.00 / 3.70 – Impressive 3rd last start when stormed home to be beaten less than half a length. That was over 1100m and the step to 1200m looks ideal. Should be at peak fitness now and ready to win. Placed 5 of 7 this track and trip including 2 wins and is drawn to get the gun run in gate 5. Gets in with only 51kgs after the 3kg claim and will only need to hold current form to give this a shake. Massive overs at the luxury double figure odds and can be backed with confidence on an each/way basis.
Moonee Valley R6 #4 Highland Beat 5.00 / 2.10 – Luckless last two start and you can totally forgive both runs. Was good fresh three runs back indicating he is in for a good prep. Gets a 2kg swing on Katsuro here who he should of finished much closer to last start. Drawn much better today in gate 5 so is likely to settle closer. Ready to win now and with a likely better run than last start when never saw daylight should be hitting the line hard late.
Narrandera R3 #3 Akasen 151.00 / 31.00 – decent speed pedigree by Ilovethiscity out of an Encosta De Lago mare who herself is a half sister to lightly tried stakes placed Helmet mare Igitur, overall this race is lacking a lot of depth and this 3 year old gelding is 2nd up into this race having its 3rd career start on the back of 2 mild efforts so far in its short career, put away after debut and had genuine excuses last time out, go on close up trial 2nd at Echuca back in October 2016 prior to debut when only 0.1l off New Kintaro, a few lines out of that trial suggest it is up to winning a weak maiden on the $10K purse level, draws very wide but alleys not the hugest factor over this trip at Narrandera (defs worth the risk on a 150/1 pop), must speck on an each way basis at the huge odds on offer of 151.00 & 31.00
Newcastle R1 #2 Commanding Witness 6.00 & #4 Sausalito 15.00 / 3.50 & #7 Dream Of Glory 13.00 / 3.10 – playing the value angle in this race and with good confidence backing 3 horses to roll the odds on favorite from the Godolphin / Beadman camp Inquiry, we have Commanding Witness as the top elect here and the Star Witness gelding is on the 6.00 line of betting, he is out of a Commands mare and has the Waterhouse polish as a late season 2yo making his debut on the back of 2 very good trials when 1st and 2nd at Randwick, Sausalito is from the astute Perry yard and won a good trial at Gosford over some well bred types and the form out of the trial stacks up to suggest city level on the make, also well bred for 2yo speed by Sebring out of a Fastnet Rock mare, a few ticks for a 15.00 / 3.50 each way chance, Dream Of Glory is also double figure odds at 13.00 & 3.10 on an each way basis, deceivingly strong speed pedigree by Oasis Dream out of a Shamardal mare, recent trial 2nd to Funoon in preparation for debut here reads very strong, looks to have come on significantly with that being its 2nd trial back from a long break after 1 trial in debut preparation. Back all 3 of these runners to roll the odds on fav,
Gold Coast R1 #6 Principessa 4.20 & #9 Mytang 34.00 / 7.80 – enough depth to back 2 horses in this race, Principessa is the clear cut top elect being offered up as a 4.20 chance and it can be backed to win with decent confidence whilst Mytang is worth nibbling at on an each way basis at the big odds of 34.00 & 7.80 in support of the top elect, Principessa hasnt put it together on the track yet under race conditions but its trial form is huge, won a Gold Coast trial by 3.8l prior to the start of this preparation, form out of it stacks up well above the level required to win here, also won a trial by 2.5l prior to debut on soft going, by Nicconi out of an Arazi mare, sire and dam sire progeny show affinity to handle wet, ticks a lot of boxes as the major elect, Mytang comes from the astute Munce yard and has 2 good trial 2nd on its profile and is 2nd up into this on the back of what can be taken as a forgive run 1st up last time out, good speed pedigree by Myboycharlie out of a Strategic mare, if things go its way may well lob at the huge odds of 34.00 / 7.80.
Gold Coast R2 #13 Rimmski 31.00 / 6.00 – look there is no doubting that the close to even money favorite Savwell looks potentially above average going on its recent 5l trial win but it was in a 4 horse field and he failed to convert that 1st up on heavy when 3rd at the Sunshine Coast over 1600m, drops back in trip here which is another query for it, Rimmski on the other hand has a bit of hidden upside in its profile and needs to be nibbled at on an each way basis at the big odds of 31.00 / 6.00 to potentially roll the fav or minimum run into the placings, hes bred to be potentially above average by Von Costa De Hero out of a Canny Lad mare who won 1 from 6 in her short career and was only 3.8l off future G1 winner Special Harmony over 1200m at its 2nd career start, penny might have finally dropped for Rimmski going on its very good close up 0.2l trial 2nd on this track over 1000m on soft going, form stacks up out of it left right and centre suggesting well up to this maiden tag, if it can overcome the wide gate it is a live hope, nibble at each way at 31.00 / 6.00, love the price for a Place at 6.00, thats very juicy.
Moonee Valley R8 #4 Rhythm To Spare 5.50 / 2.20 – Very impressive 3.25l win two runs back at Caulfield over 1600m. Then gallant 3rd in G3 company last start at Morphettville. Back to his best this prep and looks to have found another very winnable race. Drawn to get the gun run from gate 1 in a race void of any real speed. Carries 54.5kgs here after the claim which looks a luxury. Only need to hold form to give this a shake. Tick’s all the box’s and looks super value at the $6 quote. Back with a high degree of confidence on an each/way basis.
Belmont R3 #3 My Magic Miss 4.60 / 1.80 – this is a big time race in two and it is the 2nd elect in the betting markets My Magic Miss that we feel has the slight advantage here over the early favorite Rosewood Hill, we lean towards My Magic Miss on a line through Coleur Bizzare who finished 3rd to My Magic Miss last time out, on another line through that same horse back to Rosewood Hill we have Magic Miss 0.5kg better off at the weights that that shorter priced race favorite, My Magic Miss draws the 1 alley and will secure one of the runs of the race getting a dream trip, just comes out slightly infront, very hard to beat, good value at 4.60 & 1.80.
Broome R2 #1 Size Fivez 31.00 / 7.20 – there is no doubting this is a hot little race for the $14K tag on offer and there is a lot to like about the topweight here who resumes from a spell for the super hot Kayla Farrel yard who has saddled 5 winners from her last 8 runners, deceivingly good speed pedigree by Planet Five (Storm Cat) out of a Danzero mare, sire gets his fair share of speedy above average types, resumes from a spell here rising in class after 2 wide margin wins by 6.2l and 4.7l in fairly strong races on the picnic circuit, still lightly raced having only 12th career start and always looked like it had ability earlier in career, close up trial 2nd to Vatican at Bunbury in Nov 2015 with a 5l gap to 3rd is when it put the writing on the wall, goes around as a 31.00 / 7.20 chance here, nibble at each way, love the Place value at the big odds of 7.20.
Gold Coast R7 #12 Dagga Boy 13.00 / 3.30 – playing the value angle here, no doubting the race favorite Sharpamal is a smart type on the make but its wet track form makes it a big query here, on the other hand Dagga Boy was super impressive winning a trial by a widening 3.5l over 1000m at the Gold Coast on soft going knocking off Navy Gal prior to the start of this preparation, the form reads strong also through those finishing further back, flashed big closing pars as the best of those coming from off the pace 1st up last time out 2.2l 5th behind The Independent, gets a significant weight turn around vs that horse, likely to race a lot closer here in midfield or slightly better considering it is drawn down in the 3 alley, every chance of overturning the 2 race favorites and causing an upset at the good odds of 13.00 & 3.10, play each way.
Broome R4 #3 Tempered 5.00 (major elect), #5 Heza Shore Thing 17.00 / 4.80 (value 2nd elect eachway) & #7 Pike Express 35.00 / 9.00 (speck each way) – backing 3 horses here for a big result across the race. Temepered is the top elect on offer at 5.00, back as the main top elect to win the race, Heza Shore Thing is big overs as the value 2nd elect on offer at 17.00 & 4.80, back each way in support of the top elect, also worth nibbling at on an each way basis is Pine Express which can be backed at the big odds of 35.00 / 9.00. Either way by backing all 3 of these runners win major elect, each way 2nd and 3rd elects and we should walk away with a potential good collect.